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Both ASUS and the Monkeyz can be happy with their performances from the last two days, as they gathered points by drawing matches they were generally expected to lose. A 2-0 win here would be greatly helpful to either team, as all the biggest playoff contenders have failed to get a significant lead over their competition, and each line-up still has a chance to fight for the title.
ASUS played two very close games against Movistar, where it was again their teamfighting that shone bright as they made a terrific comeback in game 1. eMonkeyz got outmacroed in the first game against Giants, but later confirmed that they can play quick snowball comps well and capitalize on good early game plays. If they do something similar against ASUS, they might take a game from them too. However, I don’t think they can do it twice against a well-meshing team like ASUS, so I can see this duel ending in a draw.
Chance of winning analysis: 50% ASUS, 30% draw, 20% eMonkeyz
Betting prediction: ASUS ROG Army to win, paying -111.11 at BetOnline.
Giants have had a bit of an oopsie in their last match, after their passive late-game comp was fully exploited by eMonkeyz. The questionable drafts draw a bit of a shadow on an otherwise great start from them. KIYF have also started well, and their players have clicked together right off the bat, and this match should be the derby of the superweek.
KIYF’s clever play and focus on Carzzy as their main carry has helped them a lot, with the young ADC having some terrific performances. Giants have good macro and teamfighting, but their reliance on split-pushing could be an issue if they decide to go with the strategy yet again. They will need to focus on their bot lane more than usual if they want to stay afloat, and their opponents should look to punish any mistakes. Giants are a good team, though, and I expect them to bounce back even if they lose the first game.
Chance of winning analysis: 30% KIYF, 50% draw, 20% Giants
Betting prediction: KIYF eSports Club to win, paying +700 at BetOnline.
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KIYF’s new roster has been a pleasant surprise at the start of the season, being one of the three teams to share the top spot. Penguins, on the other side, still face the same problems from Spring, and it will be crucial for them to solve these issues before their competition gets too far ahead.
It looks like KIYF were particularly careful when picking their players for the new season, as all of them have been playing well right off the bat. Their macro is on point, and they can comfortably capitalise on single picks as they showed against MAD Lions. Their teamfighting is also good, with the young Czech bot lane showing very promising performances in this aspect. Penguins are as chaotic as they always were, but seem to focus on their ADC Javaaa now as their main carry. Still, they don’t look very convincing, and KIYF probably have a better chance of taking the 2-0.
Chance of winning analysis: 65% KIYF, 25% draw, 10% Penguins
Betting prediction: KIYF eSports Club to win, paying -125 at BetOnline.
Both teams have disappointed in this early stage compared to the expectations. While MAD are yet to pick up a series win after drawing twice, Dragons are glued to the bottom of the table with a worrying 0-4 record and an even less reassuring playstyle.
MAD Lions seem to have taken a break after the EU Masters, as they look less coherent and make more individual mistakes than we’re used to seeing from them. Crownshot wasn’t very impactful in the first two weeks, leaving the carry duty to his mid-jungle duo, but his opponent Nixerino hasn’t even been on the team for the past matches and will be playing his first games this season. Even if their starting ADC shows up big time, Dragons will still have to fix a lot of their individual and teamplay issues: everyone is still waiting for a good performance from Sacre, and the team’s problems with mid game teamfighting seem catastrophic when they’re facing quality opponents. MAD Lions are a big favourite here, and unless Dragons do something extraordinary, they should be collecting their first 2-0. (85% MAD, 10% draw, 5% Dragons)
Chance of winning analysis: 85% MAD, 10% draw, 5% Dragons
Betting prediction: MAD Lions E.C. Club to win, paying -277.78 at BetOnline.
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